{"id":49997,"date":"2023-04-13T08:51:56","date_gmt":"2023-04-13T08:51:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/focus.s.nomatter.dev\/blog\/whats-in-store-for-russias-economy-this-year-copy"},"modified":"2023-07-12T00:11:23","modified_gmt":"2023-07-12T00:11:23","slug":"what-is-the-outlook-for-u-s-oil-production-and-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/focus.s.nomatter.dev\/es\/blog\/what-is-the-outlook-for-u-s-oil-production-and-prices\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfCu\u00e1les son las perspectivas para la producci\u00f3n y los precios del petr\u00f3leo en Estados Unidos?"},"content":{"rendered":"

El sector energ\u00e9tico estadounidense ha ido viento en popa en los \u00faltimos a\u00f1os. En nuestro \u00faltimo art\u00edculo, analizamos las previsiones para la producci\u00f3n y los precios del petr\u00f3leo en el futuro.<\/em><\/p>\n

La producci\u00f3n de petr\u00f3leo de EE.UU. disminuy\u00f3 de forma constante desde la d\u00e9cada de 1980 hasta situarse en torno a los 5 millones de barriles diarios a mediados de la d\u00e9cada de 2000, impulsada por un prolongado periodo de precios del petr\u00f3leo deprimidos. Pero las arenas han cambiado ahora: Gracias a la explosi\u00f3n de la industria del esquisto, la producci\u00f3n de petr\u00f3leo estadounidense se ha disparado hasta unos 12 mbpd, convirtiendo al pa\u00eds en exportador neto de energ\u00eda por primera vez en d\u00e9cadas.<\/p>\n

El futuro es prometedor. Seg\u00fan el consenso de nuestros analistas, los precios del petr\u00f3leo WTI<\/a> superar\u00e1n los 80 d\u00f3lares por barril en los pr\u00f3ximos dos a\u00f1os, muy por encima del umbral de rentabilidad de los productores, que oscila entre 48 y 69 d\u00f3lares por barril para los nuevos pozos. Junto con la ampliaci\u00f3n de los oleoductos, la producci\u00f3n alcanzar\u00e1 la cifra r\u00e9cord de 12,8 mbpd en 2024, seg\u00fan la Administraci\u00f3n de Informaci\u00f3n Energ\u00e9tica.<\/a><\/p>\n

Como resultado, Estados Unidos ampliar\u00e1 su liderazgo como mayor productor de crudo del mundo; nuestros panelistas ven al siguiente mayor actor, Arabia Saud\u00ed, bombeando aproximadamente 11 mbpd en 2024. Esto es un buen augurio para las exportaciones y, sobre todo, para la seguridad energ\u00e9tica. A principios de la d\u00e9cada de 1970, la econom\u00eda estadounidense, dependiente de la energ\u00eda extranjera, se vio gravemente afectada por el embargo petrolero de la OPEP. Hoy, gracias al resurgimiento de la producci\u00f3n nacional de energ\u00eda, una repetici\u00f3n de tal escenario es una perspectiva lejana.<\/p>\n

\"WTI<\/p>\n

Informes de nuestra red de analistas<\/h3>\n

En cuanto a las perspectivas de los precios del petr\u00f3leo para este a\u00f1o, el EIU dijo:<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00abLos precios del petr\u00f3leo seguir\u00e1n sujetos a fuerzas divergentes en 2023, aunque EIU espera que, en conjunto, prevalezcan las presiones alcistas. Por un lado, la fuerte subida de los precios del petr\u00f3leo y el gas en 2021-22 est\u00e1 contribuyendo a una brusca desaceleraci\u00f3n de la demanda energ\u00e9tica en muchos mercados de la OCDE. Los operadores petroleros siguen preocupados por los riesgos de recesi\u00f3n en medio del agresivo endurecimiento monetario de los bancos centrales de la OCDE. Por otra parte, el cambiante entorno pol\u00edtico de China pasa ahora de ser un importante riesgo a la baja para nuestras previsiones de demanda y precios mundiales a ser un importante riesgo al alza; mucho depender\u00e1 de la rapidez con que se reabra la econom\u00eda del pa\u00eds en 2023 y de la gravedad de los brotes de c\u00f3lera en la primera mitad del a\u00f1o.\u00bb<\/em><\/p>\n

En cuanto a la producci\u00f3n estadounidense, los analistas de la EIA se\u00f1alaron:<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00abNuestra previsi\u00f3n de producci\u00f3n de crudo en el P\u00e9rmico aumenta en 470.000 b\/d hasta una media de 5,7 millones de b\/d en 2023. La finalizaci\u00f3n de los nuevos gasoductos de gas natural permitir\u00e1 a los productores transportar al mercado una mayor cantidad del gas natural que se produce junto con el crudo (gas natural asociado), eliminando una posible limitaci\u00f3n a la producci\u00f3n de crudo. En la actualidad, los productores queman en antorcha parte del gas natural que producen. Prevemos que la producci\u00f3n de crudo en el GOM aumentar\u00e1 en 120.000 b\/d en 2023, mientras que la producci\u00f3n en otras regiones de Estados Unidos (excepto en el P\u00e9rmico) disminuye ligeramente. En 2024, prevemos que la producci\u00f3n de crudo en el P\u00e9rmico aumente en 350.000 b\/d\u00bb.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El sector energ\u00e9tico estadounidense ha ido viento en popa en los \u00faltimos a\u00f1os. En nuestro \u00faltimo art\u00edculo, analizamos las previsiones para la producci\u00f3n y los precios del petr\u00f3leo en el futuro. La producci\u00f3n de petr\u00f3leo de EE.UU. disminuy\u00f3 de forma constante desde la d\u00e9cada de 1980 hasta situarse en torno a los 5 millones de<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":50000,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"editor_notices":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1702],"tags":[1690,1728,1737],"class_list":["post-49997","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-newsletters","tag-oil","tag-commodities","tag-energy"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nU.S. oil outlook for 2023 - FocusEconomics [ES]<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The U.S. energy sector has gone from strength to strength in recent years. 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