Economic growth rises in the third quarter of 2025

GDP reading: Saudi Arabia's GDP increased 4.8% on a year-on-year basis in Q3 (preliminary reading: +5.0% yoy), following a 4.5% expansion in the previous quarter.

Drivers: Compared with the prior quarter's data, figures in Q3 improved for government consumption (-3.1% on a year-on-year basis vs -4.1% in Q2), fixed investment (-0.7% vs -7.4% in Q2) and exports of goods and services (+18.4% vs +2.9% in Q2). In contrast, readings worsened for private consumption (+2.6% vs +4.6% in Q2) and imports of goods and services (+4.3% vs +8.7% in Q2). In seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter terms, the economy expanded 1.4% in Q3, following a 1.9% expansion in the previous quarter.

How should you choose a forecaster if some are too optimistic while others are too pessimistic? FocusEconomics collects Saudi Arabian investment projections for the next ten years from a panel of 7 analysts at the leading national, regional and global forecast institutions. These projections are then validated by our in-house team of economists and data analysts and averaged to provide one Consensus Forecast you can rely on for each indicator. By averaging all forecasts, upside and downside forecasting errors tend to cancel each other out, leading to the most reliable investment forecast available for Saudi Arabian investment.

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